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Deutsche Bank maintains a bullish outlook on European equities following a significant decision on the German fiscal spending package. The bank sees potential for further outperformance, particularly as supportive events have reinforced its positive stance, despite risks from U.S. political uncertainty. They continue to favor European stocks, especially outside the tech sector, anticipating that a softening in U.S. politics could enhance global equity markets later this year.
Deutsche Bank has upgraded Bunzl's stock rating from Hold to Buy, raising the price target to GBP34.75 from GBP34.00. Analyst Dominic Edridge noted that the recent share price dip presents a favorable entry point, highlighting Bunzl's consistent profit growth and potential for organic growth in fiscal year 2025, despite short-term deflation challenges. The report indicates a cautiously optimistic outlook, with signs of stabilizing prices and potential profit boosts from tariffs if demand remains stable.
Deutsche Bank has announced a pre-stabilization period for its upcoming offering of perpetual bonds, which will have an initial coupon rate of 7.750% and reset in April 2031. The stabilization period is set to begin today and may last until May 5, 2025, during which the bank may engage in activities to support the market price of the securities. The offering is directed at specific investors outside the UK and will not be registered under U.S. securities laws, meaning no public offering will occur in the United States.
U.K. inflation is projected to rise further in February, with Deutsche Bank forecasting the consumer price index (CPI) to reach 3.14% year-on-year, following a January increase to 3.0%. Food prices are climbing due to higher input costs, while tobacco and alcohol prices are also expected to exert upward pressure. Energy prices are anticipated to rise month-on-month, although a slight decline in March CPI is expected due to negative base effects, with inflation peaking near 4% year-on-year by September 2025 before gradually subsiding to around 2% in the second half of 2026.
Deutsche Bank shares hit a high of 23.075 euros, the highest since November 2015, with a midday increase of 2.8% to 22.90 euros. RBC raised its target price for the bank from 22 to 26 euros, citing positive growth estimates for the German economy and a favorable yield curve, while noting potential risks from slower earnings growth and ongoing uncertainties.
European stocks are currently favored over U.S. equities, with an 85% to 15% preference among investors for the next year, according to a Deutsche Bank survey. The Stoxx 600 has outperformed the S&P 500, rising 7.7% year-to-date, while the S&P has declined over 3%. However, expectations shift in the longer term, with a projected 28% favoring Europe compared to 72% for the U.S. as confidence in U.S. economic resilience returns.
Marion Laboure, an analyst at Deutsche Bank Research, has expressed strong concerns about the future of the cryptocurrency market, stating that many cryptocurrencies are likely to crash. This sentiment reflects growing skepticism surrounding the stability and viability of digital currencies like bitcoin.
European stocks have outperformed their U.S. counterparts in a significant way for the first time in 25 years. Deutsche Bank continues to favor the MEGA investment strategy over MAGA, indicating a shift in market preferences.
Deutsche Bank announced plans to issue a new Additional Tier 1 (AT1) bond of benchmark size. The bond's first call date is set for October 30, 2030, according to a statement from Germany's largest lender.
Deutsche Bank reports a modest underweight in overall equity positioning, with discretionary positioning nearing neutrality ahead of the April 2 tariff announcements. While underweight positioning is widespread, it is less pronounced in mega-cap growth and technology sectors. Systematic strategies remain notably underweight due to high volatility, despite strong inflows supporting the equity market, particularly in March.
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